By James Yeo //
October 4, 2017
More often than not, Share buybacks are looked upon as a positive catalyst. In general, the company perform this activity when it thinks that the prices are undervalued at current levels and they are confident in the prospects further ahead.
Furthermore, Share Buybacks reduce the company's outstanding shares so that the EPS (earnings per share) are accelerated with the "pie" being shared among lesser people.
This enhances the assurance for investors to invest in the company; fuelling the increase of the stock price advancement.
However, there is always two sides to a story. Let us examine some of the potential benefits and pitfalls of a stock buyback:

Benefits of Share Buybacks

  • Increased Shareholder Value - There are many ways to value a profitable company but the most common measurement is Earnings Per Share (EPS). If earnings are flat but the number of outstanding shares decreases. . Voila! . . A magical increase in period-to-period EPS will result.
  • Increased Float - As the number of outstanding shares decreases, the shares remaining represent a larger percentage of the float. If demand increases and there is less supply, then fuel is added to a potential upward movement in the price of a stock.
  • Excess Cash - Companies usually buy back their stock with excess cash. If a company has excess cash, then at a minimum you can bank that it doesn't have a cash flow problem. More importantly, it signals that executives feel that cash re-invested in the corporation will get a better return than alternative investments.
  • Price Support - Companies with buyback programs in place use market weakness to buy back shares more aggressively during market pull-backs. This lends support to the price of the stock and ultimately provides security for long-term investors during rough times.
Read also: 2-companies-with-insiders-buying-shares-recently

Potential Pitfalls

  • Manipulation of Earnings - Above, we described how a buyback improves the earnings per share number.Companies which have flat growth can possibly manipulate the EPS and appear to beat consensus estimates that were based on a larger number of outstanding shares.
  • Execution of Buyback - There is a difference between announcing a buyback and actually purchasing the stock.Unfortunately, there are cases where buyback announcements are made but not implemented entirely. It may initially boost the price of a stock, but this phenomenon (when it occurs) is usually short lived.
  • High Stock Prices - Re-purchasing shares at all-time high prices are highly risky and doesn't make a whole lot of sense unless there is something in the works that will add substantially to earnings.A classic example is Noble Group. Targeted by short sellers and citrics of its accounting, it kept buying back shares and raised its stake from 0 to 2.8%. Needless to say, this 'dumb' move is futile as its share price has dived more than 90% since then (after consolidation of 10:1).
Read also: why-noble-group-share-price-drop

Conclusion

Stock buyback programs can be really positive for stockholders if done at the right price and shows a wise use of excess cash when there are no alternatives for better capital allocation.
On the other hand, it also makes sense to be mindful of potential hazards like management seeking to cover up weak ratios or poorly managed employee stock option plans.
 SmallCapAsia.com is a website focused primarily on undervalued gems that can generate Big, Fat Returns for investors. Our Slogan is simple: Start Small, Win Big!Subscribe to our FREE e-newsletter to get a regular dose of investing insights not found elsewhere!

About the author James Yeo

Check Out Our Latest Articles

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp – Steady Execution

Excerpts from UOBKayHian report Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (SGX: O39) Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp (OCBC) delivered a near-record net profit of S$1,944m in 2Q24 (+14% yoy), supported by strong net trading income and lower credit costs. NPL formation was benign at S$108m. Loan-loss coverage improved 24ppt yoy and 9ppt qoq to 156%, the highest among the local

Read More

Interest Rate Cut Effect: How REITs Can Outperform

For the past 2 years, the US Federal Reserve hiked interest rates to the present 5.25% to 5.5%, which is the highest since 2007. The sharp increases, coupled with high inflation led to lower DPU for most REITs due to higher financing costs. With impending interest rate cut by the FED, REIT investors could breathe

Read More

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust – Driving resilience

Excerpts from Maybank report Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (SGX: N2IU) Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT) 1Q25 DPU of SGD2.09cts fell 8.7% QoQ and -4.1% YoY, in line with our est. Forex headwinds and pockets of weakness in overseas markets offset growing contribution from Singapore assets. Reversion picked up in 1Q25 to +5.2% due to

Read More

3 Defensive REITs I Plan to Buy When the Market Crashes

The REIT sector have come under pressure this year and may face further downside when the US economy falls into a recession next year. We could see a more prolonged market correction this year similar to the correctio in the first week of August. When the market actually crashes in 2025 and 2026, it will

Read More